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2012-3-7 20:37 Justice

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[img]http://i250.photobucket.com/albums/gg256/2004198/IESstage1-04.jpg[/img]

a�G5124/15625
b�G4/9
c�G4096/15625
d(1)�G5/7
d(2)�G2/7
d(3)�G8/33

2012-3-7 21:19 kimwong3252000
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a) 4/5 x 1/5 + 4/5 x 4/5 x 4/5 x 1/5 + 4/5 x 4/5 x 4/5 x 4/5 x 4/5 x 1/5

= 5124/15625

2012-3-7 21:23 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 20:37 �o��
[img]http://i250.photobucket.com/albums/gg256/2004198/IESstage1-04.jpg[/img]

a�G5124/15625
b�G4/9
c�G4096/15625
d(1)�G5/7
d(2)�G2/7
d(3)�G8/33 [/quote]
a. P(w)= (4/5*1/5)+(4/5*4/5*4/5*1/5)+(4/5*4/5*4/5**4/5*4/5*1/5)=5124/15625
b. P(w)=4/5*1/5 + (4/5*4/5*4/5*1/5)+(4/5*4/5*4/5**4/5*4/5*1/5)+....=4/5*1/5+ (4/5*4/5)P(w)
   (1-16/25)P(w)=4/25
   P(w)=4/25 *25/9=4/9

2012-3-7 21:31 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 20:37 �o��
[img]http://i250.photobucket.com/albums/gg256/2004198/IESstage1-04.jpg[/img]

a�G5124/15625
b�G4/9
c�G4096/15625
d(1)�G5/7
d(2)�G2/7
d(3)�G8/33 [/quote]
c. P(not win at first 3)=(4^6/5^5)<---(he cannot win in first 3)
d(1).����𸨥h�j�a��@��X�N�N�[���{:O)
�Y���YY����𸨥h�Q:O)

2012-3-7 21:36 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 20:37 �o��
[img]http://i250.photobucket.com/albums/gg256/2004198/IESstage1-04.jpg[/img]

a�G5124/15625
b�G4/9
c�G4096/15625
d(1)�G5/7
d(2)�G2/7
d(3)�G8/33 [/quote]
d(i). P(W)=P(win with 4) + P(win with 8)=1/2*3/7 + 1/2 =3/14+7/14=10/14=5/7

d(iii). P(win at A|�Uwin 1)=P(win A and win 1)/ P(win A lose b) + P(win b lose a)=4/9*2/7 / (4/9*2/7 + 5/9*5/7)=8/33

[[i] �����̫�� chinlap �� 2012-3-7 21:50 �s�� [/i]]

2012-3-7 21:41 Justice

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2012-3-7 21:45 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 21:41 �o��
��X���Y���i�H��𸨥h [/quote]
�ݩ⧹��i�S���͸��h���s��L?

2012-3-7 21:52 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 21:41 �o��
��X���Y���i�H��𸨥h [/quote]
�ک���
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�]��A�Ĥ@�U�����B�NĹ,�ҥHP(B)=1-ans at d(i)=2/7

2012-3-7 21:54 Justice
[quote]�쩫�� [i]chinlap[/i] �� 2012-3-7 21:45 �o��

�ݩ⧹��i�S���͸��h���s��L? [/quote]

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[[i] �����̫�� Justice �� 2012-3-7 22:00 �s�� [/i]]

2012-3-7 21:55 chinlap
[quote]�쩫�� [i]Justice[/i] �� 2012-3-7 21:54 �o��


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(1/2)(3/7)+(1/2)(1)
=5/7 [/quote]
���n�z��,���Y������:O)
���s�A�Τ����,�ڧ���ڻ����:O)

2012-3-7 21:59 Justice
[quote]�쩫�� [i]chinlap[/i] �� 2012-3-7 21:55 �o��

���n�z��,���Y������:O)
���s�A�Τ����,�ڧ���ڻ����:O) [/quote]

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thx

[[i] �����̫�� Justice �� 2012-3-7 22:03 �s�� [/i]]

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